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Friday, September 07, 2007

How can the Developing Countries Develop Economically? (Part 1)

This article was not written to analyze why some countries are still poor, instead, I would like to ask my readers to discuss some possible hypotheses for economic development in developing countries. I divide the article into two separated posts, so it is not looked so long. We can begin by making a causal relationship between policy prescriptions suggested by those hypotheses and economic development.

Human Capital Accumulation Hypothesis (Education)
As we exactly know education is the most important single variable for economic development, thus the more people are educated, the better they are. This hypothesis emphasizes on the importance of the allocation of parental resource and national budgetary to education. According to the data provided by the United Nations, 99,9% of developed countries’ population completed their primary education, while the percentage is only around 60% in least developed countries.
In addition, only 31,2% of least developed countries’ population completed their secondary education and above. In most part of the Europe, citizens are freed from paying tuition fee. In contrary, as we have evidenced in Indonesia, we have to pay huge amount of money for tuition fee. The problem of this hypothesis is the unwillingness of the government and the parents in developing countries to invest financial resources in education.

Let's continue reading this post!!

Empowerment of Women Hypothesis
In developing countries, difficult access to education has created a gender gap between men and women, especially in terms of income. However, some people believe that women can achieve high economic performance as well as man if they are given a chance. Besides striving for gender equality, a policy prescription of this hypothesis is giving an access to education for women. Uneducated women will have no opportunity of getting a job in their future life, thus having no job makes opportunity cost of women’s work is very low and since bearing child has high economic value, they tend to have more children and again this will be resulted in poverty.

This endless vicious cycle actually can be solved by providing access to education for them, thus their economy and social status will increase. As opportunity cost of time increases, bearing child has low economic value, thus low fertility rate and significant economic output can be reached.

Moreover, implementing micro-credit programs like the one initiated by Muhammad Yunus through Grameen Bank in Bangladesh can be an alternative solution. It extends small loans to very poor people for self-employment projects that generate income and allow them to take care of themselves and their family.

The obstacles to this hypothesis are resistance from men and the parents of poor family who prioritize the education for their sons because of lacking money.

Political Stability Hypothesis
Political and social stability breeds economic stability. Prerequisites of this hypothesis are no international war, no civil war (i.e in Iraq, Sierra Leone, Afghanistan), and no political turnover like in Japan, when one Prime Minister only held the office for a very short period of time. For instance, we can see the number of refugees increase dramatically in 21st century because of two world wars. Policy prescriptions of this hypothesis are simply not to go to war and establish strong and stable government. The problem is that only political stability is not enough, thus we have to mingle the implementation of this hypothesis with others.

Because of limited spaces, I have not covered some other reasonable hypotheses like:
  • Less Military Expenditure Hypothesis
  • Industrial Policy Hypothesis
  • Foreign Direct Investment Hypothesis
  • Other Assistance Hypothesis
which will be covered later. I welcome any comments from you, and if you have any other thinkable hypothesis, please tell me!!

18 comments:

Rahmat Aini Yudidharma said...

Our country need more people like you yuki. not much, maybe just 100. like Soekarno's said

bleu said...

One thing among those that I guess you will discuss in the second part, is to cut red tape - excessive regulations, bureaucracy. This will allow (more) small businesses to be established and foreign direct investments to come in.

gerry said...

I do agree with bleu, cut that corrupt-like bureaucracy. maybe if we had a good bureaucracy and more political stability, we won't lose Sony at the first place (forgot when).

Education in general is bad, but how about people who are study abroad? why won't they come home to build their country? It's because their expertise aren't supported by conducive working environment. Government should think about that, pull our educated man back.

Micro credit by Muhammad Yunus is already implemented by government in Indonesia. I got this information from my father, who was planning this kinda things. I think it's still on the pilot project. In his opinion, we still have to remove people's skepticism out from the box. I don't really understand what did he mean.

Indonesia is moving slow, but i hope it's sure.

Yuki Tobing said...

@rahmat:
haha, bisa aja si raht.. where've you been lately, last time you came here was when we involved ourselves in a debate about Iran and her nuclear project.. haha..

@bleu:
to cut red tape is nice guess bleu, indeed, I'll write something about that..

The same case happened in Japan, there was a theory named "PUBLIC SECTOR AS GROWTH RETARDANT" hypothesis: Government and bureaucracy are too big, too costly, and too powerful and the government acts imprudently or unwisely.

This is particularly common in democratic states.
Bureaucrats are not producers: Thus the less, the better.
The solution is privatization of public sector..

However, the idea of Dependencia School has influenced me a bit.. you know it right, the idea that says underdevelopment is perpetuated by Multinational Corporations..

@gerry:
gerry, I love this quote of yours:
"Education in general is bad, but how about people who are study abroad? why won't they come home to build their country? It's because their expertise aren't supported by conducive working environment. Government should think about that, pull our educated man back."

I have always been puzzled by the fact that those genius choose not to come back home and work abroad instead..
I know lot of Indonesian like that in Tokyo, they were granted a scholarship, they went to university in Japan, and after graduated from university they decided not to come back home..

You have explained the reason, but can I add another possible explanation? It's all about the MONEY.. haha..
anyway, whatever the reason is, I do believe that those who have obtained lot of knowledge from aboad should come back to Indonesia so that we can learn something from them..

oh yah, thanks for information about micro credit thing in Indonesia gerry,I didn't know that..

thanks for the comments guys..

PuTLie said...

two thumbs up buat yuki :) [bener ga yah tulisannya]

Adite said...

sisi edukasi gua setuju emang perlu ditingkatin, tapi seperti kata mas gerry orang2 terpelajar kita lebih milih kerja ke luar or kerja ma orang luar. WHY? coz the salary is big enough, besides the conducive working environment + fair..
duuh kalo disini mah tiap ada proyek dananya di GEDE2in biar bisa di korup! bukti nyatanya, sodara saya milih tinggal di german jadi insinyur di sono, abis dia pernah ada proyek di indo malah kayak lagi maen film "mission imposible".. proyek ngawang2 ga jelas + banyak curang sana sini.

emansipasi wanita, yah sekarang dah cukup berkembang pemikiran para wanita.. hahaha di kelas saya murid ceweknya sangat lebih banyak!

kalo sisi politik, duh males ngomonginnya.. gak bakal berubah dan mustahil >_<

gerry said...

hehe honestly, i did wanna say those things, yuki..It's all about the money..yes I agree.

But I personally, at least right now (not married yet or any other family obligation) feel that I should coming back home and give something back. If government can't provide us with both, money and working environment. Maybe government should try to provide either one of those factors.

Rahmat Aini Yudidharma said...

Wow...you still remember it. Anyway, I often read your post but I never give my comments because I always late. I want to be the first. hahaha...

Abi Bakar said...

To be honest the poster of the above article, which is my friend Yuki had correctly elaborated the whole solutions and leave the readers no other options to add more.

The problem and the solution have been identified. Now the next or current phase for us to do is 'good will' and ‘action’. Do we have a will to implement the solutions and actualize the dream of all developed countries to have a rapid growth economically?

Good will and Action is needed to develop some of the world’s less developed countries economically.

-g- said...

@Gerry
why won't they come home to build their country? It's because their expertise aren't supported by conducive working environment. Government should think about that, pull our educated man back.

I think build our country doesn't mean we need to be in the country, you can take some example such as India, a country with international networking, they can still contribute to their own country even though their not in the country.If you saying something about nationalism, its not the way someone returning home rather than stay overseas, its the way you care and feel about your nationality and contribute to it.

-g- said...

Micro Credit is a Bullshit.
-Muhammad Yunus-

Give me some accurate proof that micro credit did decrease poverty, those Muhammad Yunus idea can only be implemented if all individual is a non-profit unit, which in fact the Grameen Bank interest is higher than the average bank gives, what's the different with subprime lenders?

Yuki Tobing said...

@rahmat:
haha, well at least you come back again my friend..

@abi bakar:
yeah, but sadly, those two parts are still missing right now, especially on the side of our government.

@gerry, adite, -g-:
we are concerned about the same thing, while -g- has a different opinion about this matter.
-g-, you're certainly right in a sense that we can still build our country from abroad.. but what I, gerry, and adite are talking is about sharing your experiience and knowledge from abroad to the people inside the country.

about the micro credit thing, let's go back to the first paragraph of this article. I wrote:
"...I would like to ask my readers to discuss some possible hypotheses for economic development in developing countries"
it's just one of the possible hypotheses anyway, it doesn't necessarilly have to be true or not and I didn't say it whether it would work or not although I have to admit that I don't know much about the failure of Grammen bank.

thanks for the comments guys, hehe..

colson said...

It is a day after the fair... I know.

So, no comment, only a compliment. I liked what I read. Whatever Indonesia may be lacking, no brains for sure.

Yuki Tobing said...

@colson:
thanks for the ompliment colson, I do appreciate it.. hope some of the hypotheses I mentioned here can be useful for Indonesia in the future.

I still welcome other thinkable hypotheses.. c'mon guys, hehe..

spasi said...

hehe.. im new to your blog, mate. nice writing.

grameen banknya muh. yunus mungkin agak mirip sama konsep awal BRI di Indonesia ya. Ntah deh knp ga berhasil mengangkat nasib pengusaha kecil ke arah yang lebih baik.

and about the overseas student who wish not to return home, PPI Australia just recently held an international conference about that matter. The theme was "Pulang atau mengabdi dari jauh"

You might want to check their website, http://konferensi.ppi-australia.org/

Yuki Tobing said...

@spasi:
hai, nice to know you as well spasi..

thanks for the link spasi, I'll spread it to all my overseas friend.. hehe..

sering2 mampir yah..

Gilang said...

Hi Yuki,
Nice article, you give a quite reasonable hypothesis to be implemented, hope our country get your idea of how to develop economically.

G.B.Monyet and Your blog have give inspiration for me to start blogging. So I don't need to used my initial again.

Nice to know you (^_^)

(-g-)

Yuki Tobing said...

@gilang:
haha, now I know -g- was you..
thanks for the compliment gilang, nice to know you as well..

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